A Guideline for methodology development for the land-use modelling applications using the METRONOMICA Model: A case study of the Pendik District, Istanbul

Ustaoğlu E., Aydınoğlu A. C.

TUBITAK 2232 Project, pp.245, Ankara, 2022

  • Publication Type: Expert Report / Expert Report
  • Publication Date: 2022
  • City: Ankara
  • Abdullah Gül University Affiliated: Yes


This research is aimed at developing a methodology in terms of review of the literature and data requirements, and conducting socio-economic and spatial data development where necessary for the integration and testing of these data with the dynamic land use models, which will provide a base for the sustainability impact assessment of land development linked with transport infrastructure investments. Land use change models are tools to support the policy analysis of causes and consequences of land use change dynamics. The choice of a specific land-use model over alternatives will depend on the purpose and policy implications of the study, while issues of data availability are also important. Concerning the land-use models, the aim is to allocate land use changes based on competition between different land uses and the use of spatial allocation rules. This research focuses on examining and testing dynamic land use models (e.g. METRONOMICA/MOLAND-Monitoring Land Use/Cover Dynamics Model) for its data requirements and applications in our selected case study area in Istanbul (e.g. Pendik district) to observe alternative future land development patterns linked with transport infrastructure. By drawing on complimentary cross-cutting disciplines of land use science, geographic information systems, environmental policy and transportation planning, the project particularly aimed at:


-         Examining the literature for the state-of-the-art land use modelling approaches and the data requirements of the different modules of the land use models, specifically focusing on MOLAND/METRONOMICA.

-         Searching and assessing existing socio-economic and spatial data in the selected case study area in Istanbul in terms of its applicability and integrity to the land use modelling approach.

-         Developing and adopting socio-economic and spatial data for the case study area in Istanbul to complement and verify the existing data for its integration to the METRONOMICA Model.

-         Developing potential land development scenarios for the Turkish case in comparison to European case study areas where a land use modelling approach was developed for the sustainability assessment of alternative forms of urban development associated with new transportation infrastructure investments.


Such an integrated approach for the transportation-land-use relationship can be used to assist in policy formulation, decision making and reviews concerning the transport infrastructure investment policies and decisions in Turkey.